Trump’s tariffs and the prospects of a new ‘AI winter’

Abstract

Since 2011, the world has been experiencing one of the most vibrant periods in the history of artificial intelligence, often referred to as the third AI spring. The rapid evolution of generative models, particularly the emergence of ChatGPT, has not only accelerated AI development but also dramatically expanded its adoption across a wide range of sectors. Meanwhile, from an international relations perspective, as governments struggle to establish regulatory frameworks, the technological rivalry between the United States and China has intensified.